Kings Portfolio Newsletter Q2 2020 – “A game of inches”

Economy & Capital Markets The US Federal Reserve expects to hold short term interest rates at 0.1% for the next three years. At present the ECB’s short term rate is 0%, the BoJ’s -0.1%, the SNB’s -0.75% and PBC’s 3.85%; punishing cautious savers, pensions and those who should not undertake risk, to benefit limited liability […]

Family Office Bulletin – Investing – Earnings Estimates, COVID-19 & V-Shaped Recovery

12 minute introduction to understanding consensus earnings estimates. Their use in valuation models. How they represent a generalisation of the underlying economy. Why the stockmarket may not represent the consensus earnings view. Effect of COVID-19 (coronavirus) on earnings expectations. How they can provide a guide for managing operating business’.

Year 2019 in review

• Successes. – Developed and implemented first deep-learning applications providing a massive improvement in analytical power by leveraging previous years hardware purchases – Acceleration in pipeline of third party cutting edge quantitative research to implement – Impressive performance from improved security selection criteria – Further improved the fundamental and technical criteria for security selection – […]

A.I. Stock-Picking October Gross Realised Results: 0.83%

Jan17- Oct19 net cumulative return 39% & sharp ratio 1.03 against it’s ACWI universe 35% & 0.81. Trade, FX, Ticker, Holding Period, Position Return, Portfolio Contribution Short, CAD, CPG, 16Jul-10Oct, -18.20%, -0.20% Short, GBP, DRX, 16Jul-10Oct, 4.40%, 0.04% Short, GBP, INTU, 16Jul-10Oct, 52.40%, 0.53% Short, GBP, TED, 16Jul-10Oct, 41.75%, 0.46% Immediate transparency, 3 day full […]

Our A.I.’s Stock-Picking September Realised Results

Trade, FX, Ticker, Dates, P&L, Contribution Short, EUR, APAM, Jun27-Sep24, 6.29%, 0.21% Short, EUR, VAS, Jun27-Sep24, 17.89, 0.46% Long, HKD, 3968, Jun27-Sep24, -9.16%, -0.07% Long, HKD, 688, Jun27-Sep24, -13.32%, -0.24% Long, USD, EBR, Jun27-Sep24, 11.21%, 0.09% Long, USD, LKOD, Mar22-Sep24, -6.32%, -0.04% Gross Month Realised Return: 0.41% Net cumulative return 36% (Jan17-Sep19) and Sharp Ratio […]

STOCK MARKET THEMATIC ROTATION AND OVERCOMING BAD LUCK.

Between Wednesday 28th August and Wednesday 11th September (the last 10 bars in the charts below) the S&P 500 Index had a mild recovery to near record highs on light volume. However over the same period the DJ US Thematic Market Neutral Momentum index fell steeply, in it’s most violent move ever. Whilst the DJ […]

Our A.I.’s Stock-Picking August Realised Results

The A.I. assesses Econometric, Fundamental, Qualitative, Quantitative, Technical and Traditional data and, sentiment from documentation and news flow. Trade, FX, Ticker, Dates, P&L, Contribution Long, USD, AMZN, May28-Aug9, -1.18%, -0.03% Long, USD, ESNT, May28-Aug9, -2.1%, -0.02% Long, USD, LRCX, May28-Aug9, 8.73%, 0.09% Short, USD, MAC, May28-Aug9, 23.57% 0.69% Total Month Realised Return: 0.73% Net cumulative […]

How AI will help you live forever then eat your lunch.

First Published In FOTT Family Office Magazine Beijing – June 2019 The Turing machine that broke the enigma code during WWII was the birth of Artificial Intelligence (AI). However since then, the adoption of AI has mainly been confined to the manufacturing, transportation and distribution sectors; with the rise of robots that build Japanese cars […]