Economy & Capital Markets: Uncertainties in 2020 (Brexit, Covid, US elections, elongation of the economic cycle) have now dissipated. Unemployment remains elevated and inflation absent, permitting central bankers to continue their folly of creating massive wealth inequality through near to zero interest rates, as apposed to increasing the volocity of money. Interestingly governments across the […]
Economy & Capital Markets US equity markets moved to new all-time highs and the fastest ever recovery from a bear market as, Central Bank liquidity moved to assets whilst avoiding the huge economic capacity. In a well flagged move the US Federal Reserve Bank now target (excess) average inflation as a policy goal, that had […]
Economy & Capital Markets The US Federal Reserve expects to hold short term interest rates at 0.1% for the next three years. At present the ECB’s short term rate is 0%, the BoJ’s -0.1%, the SNB’s -0.75% and PBC’s 3.85%; punishing cautious savers, pensions and those who should not undertake risk, to benefit limited liability […]
12 minute introduction to understanding consensus earnings estimates. Their use in valuation models. How they represent a generalisation of the underlying economy. Why the stockmarket may not represent the consensus earnings view. Effect of COVID-19 (coronavirus) on earnings expectations. How they can provide a guide for managing operating business’.
• Successes. – Developed and implemented first deep-learning applications providing a massive improvement in analytical power by leveraging previous years hardware purchases – Acceleration in pipeline of third party cutting edge quantitative research to implement – Impressive performance from improved security selection criteria – Further improved the fundamental and technical criteria for security selection – […]
Jan17- Oct19 net cumulative return 39% & sharp ratio 1.03 against it’s ACWI universe 35% & 0.81. Trade, FX, Ticker, Holding Period, Position Return, Portfolio Contribution Short, CAD, CPG, 16Jul-10Oct, -18.20%, -0.20% Short, GBP, DRX, 16Jul-10Oct, 4.40%, 0.04% Short, GBP, INTU, 16Jul-10Oct, 52.40%, 0.53% Short, GBP, TED, 16Jul-10Oct, 41.75%, 0.46% Immediate transparency, 3 day full […]