Steven J Cohen CFA Newsletter Q2 2023

Economy & Capital Markets: The Federal Reserve June 14th projections show improved GDP (higher), unemployment (lower) and inflation (lower) expectations, as well as; “higher for longer” Funds Rate of 5.6% (2023), 4.6% (2024) and 3.4% (2025). Whilst the longer run Funds Rate is maintained at 2.5% On 24th February 2022, Russia launched a large-scale invasion …

Steven J Cohen CFA Newsletter Q1 2023

Economy & Capital Markets: The Fed’s March 22nd “dot-plot” is an amalgamation of selected Regional Reserve Presidents’ economic forecasts. There was a creep up in individual Presidents’ Longer-run projects of Federal funds rate at the higher limit. Whilst the median remains at 2.5%, with a Longer run inflation median projection of 2%, this still implies …

Steven J Cohen CFA Newsletter Q4 2022

Economy & Capital Markets: The US Federal Reserve Bank identifies 0.5% as the long run REAL interest rate. This implies that production (or tax revenue) expansion needed to payback a loan and interest is also expected to be 0.5%. Given the exponential technological advances and still positive demographic growth, there must be many areas where …

FTX

We have been a customer of FTX since june 2022, we chose FTX because it had the greatest liquidity in FUTURES crypto currency. We transferred from Binance due to increased UK regulatory burden on customers to trade crypto derivatives. Although it was still possible to trade on margin on the Binance exchange the increased workflow …